Southampton vs Brighton Expected Goals Performance in the last five matches

Southampton vs Brighton Prediction

Southampton & Brighton [Goals]

• Southampton is likely to score in the second half against Brighton.
• Brighton is likely to score a goal in the first half against Southampton.

Southampton & Brighton Prediction [Goals]

• Southampton’s Che Adams is expected to score against Brighton.
• Leandro Trossard is likely to score for Brighton.

Southampton & Brighton Prediction Score Southampton: 1, Brighton: 2

Statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the match may not necessarily replicate recent performances

Boxing Day 2022 will mark the return of the Premier League following the World Cup! Southampton takes on Brighton at St Mary Stadium in a matchup between two exciting teams.

Southampton currently finds itself in a precarious position. The Saints are currently 19th and in the midst of a relegation battle.

On the other hand, Brighton is currently ranked 7th, just behind Liverpool.

Southampton vs Brighton Prediction: Goal Analysis

Southampton

• In the last five games, Southampton has won only one game, drawn one and lost three. Southampton held Arsenal to a 1-1 draw in their only good game against Arsenal. Southampton is aggregating 4-9 in their last five games.
• The Saints have been slightly better at home with one win, two draws and two losses with a goal aggregate of 6-9.
• Southampton’s average 1st goal has come in the second half in home games. While Southampton has conceded its average first goal in the second half, It has usually conceded 1st.

Brighton

• Brighton has been slightly inconsistent in the last five matches. Brighton has won two, lost two and drawn one. Brighton is aggregating 9-8 in the last five match
• Brighton’s form substantially deteriotes in away fixtures, Seagulls has won just one game in the last 5 away fixtures. Brighton aggregates 8-12 in the last 5 away fixtures.
• Brighton’s average goal has come in around 50-60 minutes whereas the average goal conceded in the last 5 games is around 45-55 minutes.

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Southampton vs Brighton Expected Goals Performance in the last five matches

Southampton has average xG of 1.2 goals per match in the last 5 matches and has been slightly unlucky to not score 2 more goals. We expect a standard deviation of 0.5 goals to 0.75 goals when we compare the differential between actual goals and expected goals. Southampton has conceded 1.2 xG in the last 5 games with a differential of 0.6 goals.

• Expected goals: Expected goals takes into account various parameter like shots, Shots on target, Shots conceded on target and Average shooting accuracy from the league.

Brighton has an average goal xG of 1.8 goals per match. Brighton has scored the same amount of goals as equal to its expected goals. Brighton has been conceding 1.6 xG in the last five matches.

Forward statistics: Premier League

Southampton:

• Che Adams has appeared in 12 matches, has a shooting accuracy of 43%, and has scored 4 goals. Che Adams averages 18 passes per game with a 71% completion percentage and 1 assist.
• Joe Aribo has appeared in ten games and has a shooting accuracy of 25%. Joe Aribo completes 75% of his passes and averages 21 per game.
• Romain Perraud has played 10 games, has a 34% shooting accuracy, and has scored 2 goals. Romain Perraud averages 24 passes per game with a 77% completion percentage and 2 assists.

Brighton

• Leandro Trossard has appeared in 14 games and have a shooting accuracy of more than 60%. Leandro Trossard averages 32 passes per game with a 75% accuracy percentage and 2 assists.
• Pascal Groß has appeared in 14 games and have a shooting accuracy of more than 70 per cent. Pascal Groß averages 38 passes per game with a 78% completion percentage and 2 assists.
• Alexis Mac Allister has appeared in 14 games and has a shooting accuracy of 55% and have scored 5 goals. Alexis Mac Allister averages 58 passes per game and has an 89% pass completion percentage.

Southampton vs Brighton: Defence Analysis

• Southampton’s defence has been abysmal this season. The Saints concede 0.40 more goals than a typical Premier League side. The biggest difficulty in their defence has been the form of their goalkeepers. Saints goalkeepers save 59.7% of the time, which is 10% less than the Premier League average. The Saints are also below average in terms of shots conceded per game.
• This season, Brighton’s defence has outperformed Southampton’s. Brighton has surrendered 1.36 goals per match, which is lesser than the Premier League average, while metrics like as shots conceded per match and shots conceded on target have both been above average. Brighton’s modest concern has been their goalkeeper’s save percentage, which is 5% lower than the Premier League average.

Southampton vs Brighton Head-to-Head Statistics

Matches: 77 | Southampton: 36| Draw: 20 | Brighton: 21|

Last Meeting: Both teams played to a 2-2 draw in their last meeting.

This Fixture by the Numbers: Last Five games

• Both teams have won 1 each and 3 games ended in a draw.
• The 5 games between both sides have seen 2.8 goals per match.
• Southampton has averaged 1.4 goals per match in their last five matches against Brighton.
• Brighton has averaged 1.4 goals per match in their last five matches against Southampton.

Southampton vs Brighton Odds

Southampton vs Brighton Predicted Lineup

Southampton (4-2-3-1): Bazunu; Caleta Car, Bella-Kotchap, Salisu, Perraud; Ward-Prowse,R Lavia; S Armstrong, Adams, Elyounoussi; A Armstrong

Brighton (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Grob, Colwill, Dunk, Estupinan; Caicedo, Mac Allister; March, Lallana,Trossard; Welbeck

Final Analysis

Southampton has been dreadful in every aspect this season. The Saints have conceded more goals while failing to score more. This season, the Saints have averaged 0.90 goals per game, and their recent form has been significantly disappointing. In their previous five games, the Saints averaged 0.80 goals per game. The Saints’ defence has not been particularly strong either. The Saints have conceded 1.80 goals per match.

Brighton’s offensive has been above par and has scored more goals than the Premier League average. Brighton has averaged 1.6 goals per match and has been on an upward trajectory in the previous 5 matches. The Seagulls, on the other hand, have some defensive worries, having surrendered 1.6 goals, 0.10 goals higher than the Premier League average.

Prediction: There has been no obvious winner in the past five encounters between both teams, with both winning one game apiece and three games ending in draws. However, the performances of both clubs have been rather disparate this season. Brighton has a strong advantage in terms of form and should win this match. Prediction of the score: Brighton 2, Southampton 1.

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